Baseball Betting: The Elusive Four-Game Road Sweep

It is extremely rare for a road team to sweep a four-game series. An individual once mentioned that he was picking a home team X in Game 4 of the series after losing the first three games because he felt that there was no way that team would get swept in a 4 game series.

This sounds like one of the gamblers fallacies. For example, the odds that a fair coin lands on heads 10 consecutive times is 1/1024. People know that it is unlikely for a coin to land on heads 10 consecutive times so when they see a coin landing on heads 9 consecutive times, the novice (na