Could an Oil Slick Trip Up Stock Investors in 2006?

After generally rallying for the last 2 or 3 months, stocks suddenly ran into an unexpected roadblock. The Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) had climbed to within about 6% of its all-time high and other indexes, while not as close to peak historical levels, had risen in tandem. Then some disquieting news from the Middle East rocked the markets and threatened to send energy prices spiraling out of control, hammering stocks sharply lower.

Such was the situation in October 1973, at the beginning of the Arab oil embargo. The price of crude would quadruple over the next several months, plunging world economies into deep recession. The Dow got slammed for a 20% loss by early December, and Wall Street didn