WHAT ARE BETTING EXCHANGES? - A BRIEF EXPLANATION AND BASIC
TACTICS.
WHAT ARE BETTING EXCHANGES? - AN EXPLANATION AND BASIC
TACTICS. Betting exchanges online were only introduced a few
years ago,by British firm Betfair,and have grown so rapidly,that
they now,not the bookmakers,set the prices for most sporting
events.The bookmakers have to consult and respond to what is
happening on the exchanges.Even if you have never had a bet on
the exchanges,you should be very happy about their existance.A
visible example is the prices on offer in British
horseracing,whereas at one time it was most unusual to see an
outsider at odds of more than 33/1,but now many runners are of
ten returned with starting prices of 66/1+,this is entirely due
to the exchanges.Not so obvious is the day to day tightening of
percentages on all betting events which benefit all
punters.Despite this you can still get far better odds on the
exchanges,typically 20% better according to the exchanges
themselves.
Betfair is the dominant betting exchange,with Betdaq a good
alternative.There is very little competition - is this a bad
thing ?.Absolutely not.If you think about it,the best exchange
is going to be the one with the most punters,both bettors and
layers.The exchanges.don't actually do anything !.They just open
the doors,maintain the site,but it is up to the people who enter
and participate who create everything themselves.
HOW DO YOU BET?.You can back anything on the
exchanges,you can lay anything on the exchanges,and you can back
and lay the same selection.In fact this is the best approach,if
you can back a horse(we will use horseracing in most
examples,but could be any sport)at,lets say 12.00(11/1)and then
lay a horse at,lets say 9.00(8/1),you are now in the happy
position of not being able to lose.Lets say you bet in $10
units(you can have much smaller,or larger bets if you so
wish),so if the horse wins,you will win $110,but of course you
have to pay the person who bet the horse at 9.00 with you.In
this example you win $110 and pay $80,meaning a profit of $30.If
the horse loses it has cost you nothing,you bet $10,you layed
$10,and in effect you have had a free bet !.Don't worry about
trying to keep track of your bets,the screen will automatically
show you what your liabilities are for each horse - green for
profit,red for loss.Also bear in mind that the exchanges have to
make money somewhere,and they charge commission on winning
bets,nothing on losing bets.The commission is usually 5%,but
this figure falls as you accumulate loyalty points.For
presentation purposes decimals are used for prices,this allows
the minutest of price changes to be catered for,but it is
awkward at first for punters who are used to fractional odds,but
you soon get used to adding stake into prices displayed.Some
examples - 10.00 = 9/1, 14.00=13/1, 4.5=7/2, 2.1=11/10 etc.
THINGS CAN GO WRONG.Sometimes you are going to take a
price,with the view to laying at lower price,only to be dismayed
to see the price drift alarmingly.What to do now?.Well don't
panic,not yet anyway!.You have got three choices.Firstly
i assume you fancied the selection,so maybe just let it
run,after all just because it drifts,it does not mean it can't
win.Secondly you may want to lay it at a bigger price
than you backed it.In other words,hope it gets beat and you
finish level.If it does win you will have to pay the difference
between the price you backed,and the price you laid.This is the
worst option - it is infuriating to pay out money on a selection
you fancied originally.Thirdly,you can also back
horses(again i refer to horseracing,but applies to any sporting
event)in running,during the race.This i feel is the best
option.But what price do you offer ?.You can dive in and out of
the race offering different prices as the event unfolds,or you
can offer high price or low price and leave it.Well should it be
high or low?.It depends!.If you offer a high price(by high i
don't mean higher than you backed it)you are more liable to get
a buyer,as most horses,or teams,at some time get into contention
sometime during an event.So by laying high you could get out of
trouble and finish level.However finishing level is not too
exciting,so offer low price in running.If you take this option
you can turn a bad position into a decent win,even if your
selection loses - just so long as the selection flatters
sometime during the event.For example you back horse,$10 at
9.00,and it drifts - wait for the off and offer at about 3.75
for $20.It doesnt have to win,just be a challenger at some time
and hopefully someone will take it on.If it wins,you win $80 and
pay $55 = $25 profit.If it loses,you lose $10,and collect $20 =
$10 profit.If the selection never shows,well no one is going to
take up your bet,and you have done your money this time,but at
least you went down fighting.
Bets that have already lost,but still available.Sometimes
the odds available may look unbelievably good,if that is the
case there is probably a good reason.Maybe somebody in the know
has access to information that you don't.It can be anything -
change in going,team struck down with flu virus,injury that may
mean player may not even participate,a non trier,and on the very
rare occassion corruption.So if a fancied selection drifts
alarmingly,beware,there may be a reason for it.
Digital television is delayed - often you will see say
1000(999/1) appear suddenly on the screen,this is because a
horse has just fallen,or team scored etc.If you are watching on
digital tv you will not be aware of this fact for maybe 2
seconds.Not long ,but still time enough for transactions to take
place.
Arbitrage between exchanges - forget it.This is when you
can back on one exchange and lay on another.I have no doubt that
if you work at it you can make a small profit,but it will be
small.The exchanges always converge pretty quickly,and the gaps
will always be tiny.The only way to get "value"perhaps is to
note a tightening of price on the exchanges,and back selection
with a bookmaker - if the price stays solid or reduces
further,the bookmakers odds will almost certainly have to
constrict.These tactics are exactly opposite to what used to
happen just a few years ago,when you would back on the exchanges
knowing that their prices would have to converge with the
bookmakers prices.This is no longer the case,the exchanges,that
is the punters themselves now set the prices.
You haven't the time to sit at computer all day ?.To get
full value out of exchanges,you really need to be at that
blasted computer screen for an unhealthy amount of time,but as
we all know it can be very tiring,and a bit boring.However you
can still play the exchanges.Remember you set your own
prices,and if nobody wants to play with you,the bets just
expire,with no cost to you at all,no matter how many bets you
leave on the exchange.So,if you are horse player,or sports
bettor - get in early - as soon as the markets open.You can then
leave your bets open,say overnight for horseracing,and maybe
several days for other sporting events.Your tactics should be to
leave MANY MANY bets - all at,what appears even to
yourself ridiculously optimistic prices.Believe me,you will be
amazed at some of the bets you leave that are taken on -
remember you may leave 30 or 40 bets for lets say,tomorrows
racing,and if 3 or 4 are layed you are already in the driving
seat.You can either let them run at fabulous
odds(recommended!)or you can lay bet to other punters now,either
with a view to covering your bet or making definate profit
now.You can of course use the same tacics for laying bets.
The bigger the odds the more value you get.It can be hard
to grasp,but you get better value the bigger the odds.The
movement on the favourites is minute - there are legions of
buyers ready to pounce as soon as it moves.The bigger the odds
there are of course fewer buyers,this can lead to volatility on
a grand scale.Volatilty is what the shrewd punter likes most
of all.It is not unusual to get odds of approaching 200/1
for a horse that may be showing just 33/1 in the morning racing
press and starting price.This happens because bookmakers do not
parcitipate in this end of the market,they are watching,and
backing the fancied horses which are the ones that will inflict
the damage to them.Also the big hitters usually back the fancied
horses to big stakes and lay the outsiders to small stakes.So
both bookmakers and big players concentrate on the fancied
horses,this leaves room for you to operate successfully.Most
races are won by fancied horses,but you only have to win very
rarely at these odds to show a very healthy profit.Also remember
once you have this huge price,you can lay your selection in
running and still make a profit whatever the result.
These are just basic tactics to be employed on the exchanges,and
you will develop your own tactics as you get comfortable with
the systems.However make no mistake the exchanges are the
best thing to happen to regular punters - ever .
By Pendil at British Betting and Gaming Sites.