Trading Psychology: Mistakes in a Trading Environment
When it comes to trading, one of the most neglected subjects are
those dealing with trading psychology. Most traders spend days,
months and even years trying to find the right system. But
having a system is just part of the game. Don't get us wrong, it
is very important to have a system that perfectly suits the
trader, but it is as important as having a money management
plan, or to understand all psychology barriers that may affect
the trader decisions and other issues. In order to succeed in
this business, there must be equilibrium between all important
aspects of trading.
In the trading environment, when you lose a trade, what is the
first idea that pops up in your mind? It would probably be,
"There must be something wrong with my system", or "I knew it, I
shouldn't have taken this trade" (even when your system signaled
it). But sometimes we need to dig a little deeper in order to
see the nature of our mistake, and then work on it accordingly.
When it comes to trading the Forex market as well as other
markets, only 5% of traders achieve the ultimate goal: to be
consistent in profits. What is interesting though is that there
is just a tiny difference between this 5% of traders and the
rest of them. The top 5% grow from mistakes; mistakes are a
learning experience, they learn an invaluable lesson on every
single mistake made. Deep in their minds, a mistake is one more
chance to try it harder and do it better the next time, because
they know they might not get a chance the next time. And at the
end, this tiny difference becomes THE big difference.
Mistakes in the trading environment
Most of us relate a trading mistake to the outcome (in terms of
money) of any given trade. The truth is, a mistake has nothing
to do with it, mistakes are made when certain guidelines are not
followed. When the rules you trade by are violated. Take for
instance the following scenarios:
First scenario: The system signals a trade.
1. Signal taken and trade turns out to be a profitable trade.
Outcome of the trade: Positive, made money. Experience gained:
Its good to follow the system, if I do this consistently the
odds will turn in my favor. Confidence is gained in both the
trader and the system. Mistake made: None.
2. Signal taken and trade turns out to be a loosing trade.
Outcome of the trade: Negative, lost money. Experience gained:
It is impossible to win every single trade, a loosing trade is
just part of the business; our raw material, we know we can't
get them all right. Even with this lost trade, the trader is
proud about himself for following the system. Confidence in the
trader is gained. Mistake made: None.
3. Signal not taken and trade turns out to be a profitable
trade. Outcome of the trade: Neutral. Experience gained:
Frustration, the trader always seems to get in trades that
turned out to be loosing trades and let the profitable trades go
away. Confidence is lost in the trader self. Mistake made: Not
taking a trade when the system signaled it.
4. Signal not taken and trade turns out to be a loosing trade.
Outcome of the trade: Neutral. Experience gained: The trader
will start to think "hey, I'm better than my system". Even if
the trader doesn't think on it consciously, the trader will
rationalize on every signal given by the system because deep in
his or her mind, his or her "feeling" is more intelligent than
the system itself. From this point on, the trader will try to
outguess the system. This mistake has catastrophic effects on
our confidence to the system. The confidence on the trader turns
into overconfidence. Mistake made: Not taking a trade when
system signaled it
Second Scenario: System does not signal a trade.
1. No trade is taken Outcome of the trade: Neutral Experience
gained: Good discipline, we only need to take trades when the
odds are in our favor, just when the system signals it.
Confidence gained in both the trader self and the system.
Mistake made: None
2. A trade is taken, turns out to be a profitable trade. Outcome
of the trade: Positive, made money. Experience gained: This
mistake has the most catastrophic effects in the trader self,
the system and most importantly in the trader's trading career.
You will start to think you need no system, you know better from
them all. From this point on, you will start to trade based on
what you think. Confidence in the system is totally lost.
Confidence in the trader self turns into overconfidence. Mistake
made: Take a trade when there was no signal from the system.
3. A trade is taken, turned out to be a loosing trade. Outcome
of the trade: negative, lost money. Experience gained: The
trader will rethink his strategy. The next time, the trader will
think it twice before getting in a trade when the system does
not signal it. The trader will go "Ok, it is better to get in
the market when my system signals it, only those trade have a
higher probability of success". Confidence is gained in the
system. Mistake made: Take a trade when there was no signal from
the system
As you can see, there is absolutely no correlation between the
outcome of the trade and a mistake. The most catastrophic
mistake even has a positive trade outcome, made money, but this
could be the beginning of the end of the trader's career. As we
have already stated, mistakes must only be related to the
violation of rules a trader trades by.
All these mistakes were directly related to the signals given by
a system, but the same is applied when getting out of a trade.
There are also mistakes related to following a trading plan. For
example, risking more money on a given trade than the amount the
trader should have risked and many more.
Most mistakes can be avoided by first having a trading plan. A
trading plan includes the system: the criteria we use to get in
and out the market, the money management plan: how much we will
risk on any given trade, and many other points. Secondly, and
most important, we need to have the discipline to follow
strictly our plan. We created our plan when no trade was placed
on, thus no psychology barriers were up front. So, the only
thing we are certain about is that if we follow our plan, the
decision taken is on our best interests, and in the long run,
these decisions will help us have better results. We don't have
to worry about isolated events, or trades that could had give us
better results at first, but then they could have catastrophic
results in our trading career.
How to deal with mistakes
There are many possible ways to properly manage mistakes. We
will suggest the one that works better for us.
Step one: Belief change. Every mistake is a learning experience.
They all have something valuable to offer. Try to counteract the
natural tendency of feeling frustrated and approach mistakes in
a positive manner. Instead of yelling to everyone around and
feeling disappointed, say to yourself "ok, I did something
wrong, what happened? What is it?
Step two: Identify the mistake made. Define the mistake, find
out what caused the mistake, and try as hard as you can to
effectively see the nature of that mistake. Finding the mistake
nature will prevent you from making the same mistake again. More
than often you will find the answer where you less expected.
Take for instance a trader that doesn't follow the system. The
reason behind this could be that the trader is afraid of
loosing. But then, why is he or she afraid? It could be that the
trader is using a system that does not fit him or her, and finds
difficult to follow every signal. In this case, as you can see,
the nature of the mistake is not in the surface. You need to try
as hard as you can to find the real reason of the given mistake.
Step three: Measure the consequences of the mistake. List the
consequences of making that particular mistake, both good and
bad. Good consequences are those that make us better traders
after dealing with the mistake. Think on all possible reasons
you can learn from what happened. For the same example above,
what are the consequences of making that mistake? Well, if you
don't follow the system, you will gradually loose confidence in
it, and this at the end will put you into trades you don't
really want to be, and out of trades you should be in.
Step four: Take action. Taking proper action is the last and
most important step. In order to learn, you need to change your
behavior. Make sure that whatever you do, you become
"this-mistake-proof". By taking action we turn every single
mistake into a small part of success in our trading career.
Continuing with the same example, redefining the system would be
the trader's final step. The trader would put a system that
perfectly fits him or her, so the trader doesn't find any
trouble following it in future signals.
Understanding the fact that the outcome of any trade has
nothing to do with a mistake will open your mind to other
possibilities, where you will be able to understand the nature
of every mistake made. This at the same time will open the doors
for your trading career as you work and take proper action on
every mistake made.
The process of success is slow, and plenty of times it is
attributed to repeated mistakes made and the constant struggle
to get past these mistakes, working on them accordingly. How we
deal with them will shape our future as a trader, and most
importantly as a person.