TEAM RECORD UNDER 500--NO PROBLEM IN THE NBA
Of the four major professional sports in America, basketball is
the only one where a team with a .500 or under record has a
chance of making the playoffs. In the NHL, where like the NBA a
little over 50% of the teams go to the playoffs; clubs with
losing records don't come close to competing for Lord Stanley's
Cup.
This year in the NFL, where even the Wild Card teams sported a
.688 winning percentage, the Kansas City Chiefs were left out of
the post-season tournament after going 10-6 (.625). Major League
Baseball saw the San Diego Padres win their division and earn a
2005 playoff berth with a .506 winning mark, but they were an
anomaly. This season all other MLB playoff teams won 90 or more
of the 162 games they played. Over the past five years 98% of
the baseball teams that have been playoff bound have won 90
(.556) or more games and none have had losing records. The NBA
is different.
In the 2003-04 NBA Playoffs four of the eight Eastern Conference
teams that had the honor of making the second season earned
records of .500 or below. In the Atlantic Division, the 8th seed
Boston Celtics, one of the most winning franchises in
professional sports history, touted a 36-46 (.439) record as
they headed into the playoffs. At 39-43 (.476) the New York
Knicks weren't much better. In the Central Division, New Orleans
and Milwaukee, 5th and 6th seeds respectively, finished at .500.
The next year no sub-500 teams were in the tournament but New
Jersey, the 7th seed with a 43-39 (.524) mark, and Philadelphia,
the 8th seed compiling a 42-40 (.521) record, were marginal.
This year, as we approach the mid-way point of the professional
hoop season, it's clear that there's a good chance that as many
as four sub-500 teams--25% of the playoff mix--will be shooting
threes and banging the boards in the post-season.
The Milwaukee Bucks, the current 6th seed, are 19- 18 (.514);
the Philadelphia 76ers, which hold the 7th seed, are 18-20
(.474); and the Washington Wizards, the potential 8th seed are
17-20 (.459). Washington will probably have some stiff
competition for that final Eastern Conference position from the
16-22 Chicago Bulls, the 15-23 Boston Celtics, and the 14-22
Orlando Magic.
Although the Western Conference has traditionally been exempt
from this dilemma, this year is different. The current 8th seed,
the Utah Jazz, is one game above .500 and there are at least
three other teams--Minnesota, Golden State, and New
Orleans/Oklahoma City-- with more losses than wins that are in
contention for that spot.
Certainly a system that's geared towards making the league
competitive has its benefits to owners, players, and fans. While
teams continue to stay in the mix, this system has the potential
to keep hometown fans interested. However, the system leads to
inferior teams making it into a post-season where they don't
have a chance to compete.
There are a few reasons why the NBA has this problem. However
the major reason is, quite simply, money. The NFL has long had a
salary cap; the NHL has just instituted one; and MLB has created
a half-hearted attempt at one. The theory behind an effective
salary cap, such as the type the NFL and NHL have instituted, is
that when teams are allowed to only spend a certain amount of
money they will be forced to spend it wisely--doing their best
to build a competitive team. The other way a salary cap works is
that it prohibits one or two teams from paying exorbitant
amounts of money to hire all of the stars, thus leveling the
playing field. (This is why the MLB salary cap doesn't really
work; it doesn't do this and is not a true cap. It's more of a
salary visor.)
Now this may surprise you-- the NBA also has a salary cap. This
year it's set at $49.5 million per team. However the NBA has a
"soft" cap, a headband really, which translates into numerous
loopholes allowing clubs to still break the bank when it comes
to salaries.
Because of how it can be manipulated, the soft cap does very
little to control spending. This can have some disastrous
results for teams and the league. Some teams capture that one
star player with a huge multi-year deal but then, because of
their own budget limits, can't afford to support him with
role-players. And if that primary guy suffers a season ending
injury, the entire team's season is over.
Others with the deepest pockets find their way around the cap
and scoop up two or three hallmark names, while teams with small
bankrolls don't have the power to attract the best talent. Then
there are the organizations that spend money on young talent and
that talent just doesn't pan out. If a player has a big contract
and he's not performing, he's impossible to trade, and he still
has to be paid.
The fact is a salary cap is intended to negate exactly what is
happening in the NBA; a soft cap is designed to simply get
around the basic provisions and safeguards a salary cap offers.
The final result is an imbalance of power, which means you may
have 16 playoff positions but you really only have 12 playoff
teams. The last three or four slots are filled by
non-competitive teams just because the spaces are there.
This year if the Celtics or the Sixers or the Jazz or any of the
other clubs hovering around .500 make the post-season will
anyone consider them worthy of being potential NBA champions?
There's one of two possible solutions for the NBA--a real salary
cap or going to a 12-team playoff scenario.