Successful Investing - Avoiding Implementation Shortfalls
An issue every investor faces is that of successfully
implementing his investment strategy.
It's nice to read or hear about great investing strategies but
oftentimes, when you try to implement them, they fail to deliver
the superior returns.
Here are some key points to consider to maximize your chance of
success when you implement your strategy.
Transaction Costs
Advertised performances seldom take into account trading costs.
One reason is that costs will be very different depending on
which stock broker you use.
Ensure your Trading Cost is kept under 1%. Reciprocally, always
remove a good 1% for transaction costs from any performance
numbers you see.
Bid-Ask spread
This is a hidden fee and can be a Killer. It is too easy not to
pay attention to: for instance, Bid-Ask spread is not included
in Mutual Fund's Expense Ratios. Very few studies or
performances from investment books take it into account.
Bid-Ask spread is larger for small Cap (sometimes in excess of
1%) than for large Cap (usually less than 0.25%).
Turnover rate is also very important.
Value Investing with lower turnover rate and larger market
capitalizations will suffer less than Momentum strategies that
typically invest in smaller cap and keep stocks for just months,
weeks or even days.
For instance, a strategy investing in small cap with 1% average
Bid-Ask spread and an annual turnover rate of 300% will loose
1%*300%=3% per year. This is on top of trading costs !
Can you execute the trades ?
Most investment strategies assume that you Buy and Sell Stocks
at specific time but can you, in practice, buy or sell at that
specific time ?
How often have you seen Stock Picks recommendations - often on
week-ends - but then on Monday it is impossible to execute at
the Friday's price because the share skyrocket 20% at the
opening.
Later, the guru proudly announces that his stock pick
outperformed but you could not buy at the set price so could not
reap the advertised gain.
This can be an issue for strategies with frequent trades. Again,
Value Investing will suffer less because there are fewer trades
so it is less sensitive to exact entry/exit points. If you use
Mar
ket Timing, favor systems with few signals per year.
Diversification
After a strategy is highlighted, it is not rare to see it
underperforming. A good example is the Dogs of the Dow. The
strategy underperformed after it was detailed in the early 90s.
Many attribute its underperformance to the fact that too much
money flowed into the strategy thereby reducing its efficiency.
I rather attribute its underperformance to the biggest Bull
Market in History where Value Investing was less rewarding than
Growth/Momentum.
A take is that every strategy will underperform at some point.
This is when your nerves will be at test and when you will be
tempted to abandon and switch strategy... only to see it
outperform afterwards.
The simple solution - highly recommended - is to diversify with
2 or more investing strategies.
Since then, the Dogs of the Dow has been outperforming the Dow
Jones and the S&P500 since 2000.
Conclusion for Successful Investing
Whatever your investment strategy, there will be a difference
between paper profits and real profits. This is true even if you
invest in Index Funds.
To maximize your chance of success in the Stock Market:
- Strive to keep transaction costs below 1% per year
- Pay great care to strategies investing in Smaller Cap with
high Bid-Ask spread
- Beware strategies with frequent trades
- Diversify