The Winds of Change: 2006 Real Estate Market Trends
As the month of January comes to a close there has been much
speculation about the state of the real estate market, both
nationally and locally. As we prepare for the future, we must
take many factors into consideration. Change is the natural
progression of life, for humans, our Universe and even the real
estate market. As home buyers, sellers and real estate
professionals, we must be attentive and knowledgeable in order
to make the best investment decisions. In this article I will
share my views on the current local and national real estate
markets. I will also discuss the views of some influential
people in the real estate industry.
The National Market Adjustment Recently, Frank Nothaft, Freddie
Mac vice president and chief economist, stated "Our outlook for
the housing industry continues to be that mortgage rates will
remain affordable for the rest of the year at least, keeping the
industry alive and well into the foreseeable future." This bodes
well for real estate professionals and consumers throughout the
country, even in regions where the market seems to be slowing
down considerably. According to Blanche Evans, writer and editor
of Realty Times, in her article "Realty Times Outlook - What's
Normal" the National Association of Realtors believes in 2006
housing markets will "return to normal". "In 2006," Evans
states, "experts are calling for more balance in the rate of
price growth, says the NAR, as well as more balance between
buyers and sellers in local markets." David Lereah, NAR's chief
economist, says "more modest gains are healthy." "We don't need
to break a record every year for the housing market to be good,"
Lereah continues, "in fact, cooling sales are necessary for the
long-term health of this vital sector. A modest slowdown in home
sales, coupled with improvements in housing inventory, means the
market is in the process of normalization. That will help to
bring balance between home buyers and sellers, yet sales will
remain historically strong." As the market becomes more balanced
during 2006 buyers will begin to recover some of the advantages
they have sacrificed over the last few years, such as more time
to evaluate different properties and to make offers.
Nontraditional mortgages such as 80/20's or ARM's will become
less popular and 30-year fixed rate mortgages will be the
preferred option.
Hampton Roads and the Tidewater Region of Virginia
As the national market continues to evolve it is important to
pay attention to our regional real estate market trends as well.
Location is an incredibly important part of analyzing and
predicting real estate market changes. At the end of 2005 the
Virginia Association of REALTORS