Stay Tuned to Your PC, Hundreds of Channels of Real TV Coming
Soon!
Mark Cuban, step aside! The next great development in Broadcast
Television shown on the Internet is being played out in
Vancouver, British Columbia, where this techno-revolution in
viewing is made possible because streaming video is now so
advanced and audience-friendly that hundreds of channels of TV
content are about to come to viewers right on their PCs!
Sitting in the middle of a complex array of computer equipment
is Ed Clunn, who is Chief Technology Officer of www.eBahn.tv ,
and he is in the last throes of moving his company's data center
to Los Angeles. Although you wouldn't mistake Clunn for Mark
Cuban, the founder of Broadcast.com and HDNet, Clunn's launching
of eBahn, which will be the first true Internet television
network, may very well be taking the same types of steps Cuban
did with his 2 networks.
"Our vision has been to bring hundreds of channels of 'real
television' content to viewer's computer screens in the quality
that they have grown to expect," stated Clunn. "The success of
Broadcast.com and Mark Cuban inspired me to take the technical
steps necessary to really deliver TV content over the Internet."
Cuban is a good example of how a simple concept can grow into a
multi-billion dollar opportunity. In the early days of
streaming, Cuban and Todd Wagner, who were big sports fans,
founded a company called AudioNet, initially to provide
out-of-market coverage for college basketball games. AudioNet
eventually grew into Broadcast.com, which was purchased by
Yahoo! in 1999. (Cuban is now the owner of the Dallas Mavericks
basketball team.) When Yahoo bought Broadcast.com for $5.04
billion, Cuban's simple idea was definitely validated.
There certainly were naysayers to Cuban's concept just as there
are critics today who are skeptical about Clunn's own vision.
The advancements of streaming media changed those sentiments in
Broadcast.com's case though. Streaming media, a method for
transmitting multimedia files so that playback occurs upon
arrival of the first data packets, was and will continue to be
one of the key drivers behind Internet growth for years to come,
according to a report by U.S. Bancorp Piper Jaffray
(http://www.piperjaffray.com).
In an industry report released in 2000 on the future of
streaming media, Gene Munster, senior technology research
analyst for U.S. Bancorp Piper Jaffray, said that streaming
media will be the next "macro-growth driver" on the Internet.
"We expect significant growth drivers in the streaming media
sector, including the availability of broadband, simplified ease
of use, the availability of content, and the convergence of the
TV and the PC," Munster said. "We believe the Internet of
tomorrow (two to five years from now) will resemble the
television of today in terms of audio and video quality, while
enabling users to control the media viewing experience." His
predictions were clearly borne out.
Clunn believes with the continued acceptance of streaming
technology, and the rapid growth of video stream usage, that the
public at large will now be turning to their computer screens
more and more for entertainment content. "The dramatic rise in
streaming video usage is the signal to me that Internet TV will
be accepted broadly in the next two years," Clunn confidently
stated. "The companies that get in front of this trend now will
be the big winners. I don't intend to be the next 'Johnny come
lately'."
The rise of video streams is actually staggering when one views
the numbers of individual video plays on a year-to-year basis.
Video streams increased 80.7 percent in 2004, for a total of
14.2 billion streams, according to AccuStream iMedia Research
(http://www.accustreamresearch.com).
"Growth was really strong in the number of [both] audio and
video streams in 2004, outpacing even our own optimistic
forecasts in the past," stated Paul Palumbo, research director
of AccuStream, a media research firm. "I remember a few years
ago when we had 3.5 billion video streams, thinking that was a
really big number. Now, we're already four times that."
Robust growth continued in 2005, with a total of 21 billion
streams (up 48 percent year-to-year) forecast for 2005. By 2007,
the annual volume of video streams is projected to exceed 35
billion.
Just fifteen years ago, the thought of delivering hundreds of
channels of television content over the Internet anytime in the
near future was not taken seriously by many. The reason was
simple: The only Internet users at that time were using dial-up
connections which would bottleneck the stream of data necessary
for true broadcast quality video. Those times have changed
completely with the advent of various broadband technologies.
Broadband penetration rates have now made it possible for an
Internet TV network to arrive on the scene. The number of U.S.
at-home broadband users now accounts for 55 percent of the total
U.S. at-home users as of December 2004, according to data from
Nielsen/NetRatings. If this robust adoption rate continues,
almost 70 percent of all U.S. home users will have broadband
connections by the first half of 2006, according to forecasts
based on Nielsen.
Even though broadband and streaming media technology are
available, this doesn't mean the success is assured for a true
Internet TV Network. Entertainment usage habits of the general
consumer have to adjust and change in concert with both of these
technology developments. This is now being played out as men and
women continue to use computers more and more, and not just for
work!
In a typical week, men spend 10.2 hours on a PC, 6.7 hours of
which are spent on the Internet. Women spend a total of 8.5
hours using a computer, 5.3 of those are online. Media
consumption across all categories, except reading magazines, is
higher among men by an average of seven hours per week according
to a Forrester's Consumer Technographics report. On the Web, men
tend to surf for news, magazines, finance, job and career
information. They also visit discussion boards and comparison
shop. Online activities for women skew more toward utility: they
get movie information, play games, share photos, and use online
phone directories.
Compare these numbers with TV consumption and one sees how close
Internet usage is to overtaking traditional television viewing.
Men are watching TV 13.6 hours a week while women are viewing
television for 12.1 hours each week. Men are also watching
movies on video or DVD an average of 3.7 hours a week, and women
are watching 3.3 hours a week.
The number to really watch, says Clunn, is multi-channel
viewing. "People are now watching TV and working on their
computers at the same time," observed Clunn. "As this trend
grows eBahn.tv will grow with it."
The number of minutes adults spend simultaneously surfing the
Web and watching TV has increased a dramatic 72 percent, from an
average of 174 minutes per week in 2001 to 300 minutes per week
in 2004, according to the latest "Media in Mind" survey by
Universal McCann.
The 2004 Web/TV figure accounts for 20 percent of total weekly
TV-viewing time for the average U.S. adult aged 18-49. In 2001,
only 11 percent of total TV-viewing time for that age group was
accompanied by Web use. The percentage of adult TV-viewing time
that is potentially distracted or enhanced by Internet use has
almost doubled in three years.
There is one other reason an Internet TV network may not have
succeeded in the past, and that is the lack of real content.
"People want to see the same type of content they can see on
regular TV if they are going to watch Internet TV," said Clunn.
"In the first quarter of 2006, eBahn.tv will be delivering
almost 200 channels of content, the type of programming you
would view with any cable operator."
At the end of the day, every business model has to generate more
income than it spends and the timing may be right once again for
the Vancouver media company. Advertisers are now moving their
promotional budgets towards the Internet in ever increasing
numbers. Online sales have also mirrored the increase in
advertising.
Online retailers saw a 24 percent increase in sales in 2004.
Growth by the end of 2005 is projected to rise by another 22
percent.
The 2004 growth rate of 24 percent outpaces traditional retail
growth, which saw an increase of only seven percent. Last year,
online sales accounted for 6.5 percent of total retail sales, up
from 5.4 percent in 2003. In 2005, online sales are expected to
account for 7.7 percent of total retail sales according to
Forrester. "On the demand side, we continue to see more new
shoppers coming online," said Scott R. Silverman, executive
director of Shop.org, "and the new shoppers that have been
online continue to get more comfortable."
Online advertising revenue is expected to reach $16.5 billion by
2005 according to research released today by Jupiter
Communications, Inc. Interestingly enough, sponsorships are most
popular on TV broadcasters' Web sites, such as CBSNews.com,
BET.com, and FOXNews.com. "A significant number of sites owned
by major media brands that experimented with streaming video
advertising in 2000 and 2001, and then moved behind subscription
services, reemerged as ad-supported content sites in 2004 and
2005," Palumbo added.
With all of these trends involving broadband penetration,
Internet usage, streaming media viewing and multi-channel
viewing on the rise, Clunn feels that it will be a very good
year for eBahn.tv.
"We believe that the 'perfect storm' has arrived for the birth
of our Internet TV network", said Clunn. "When the network goes
live in January, all of the proverbial cosmic tumblers will
click into place for eBahn.tv and we'll be off to the races."
These are optimistic sentiments but they seem to be rooted in
pretty sound logic. Are we looking at the next Broadcast.com?
Just check the Internet in a few weeks and we'll all see.