Bracket Buster Weekend
As we approach the home stretch in college basketball's regular
season, handicappers look more and more at how meaningful a game
might be to a particular team. There are conference races taking
place, tournament seedings and even RPI ratings at stake for
many teams. Of course, there are also meaningless games with
nothing at stake.
These points are particularly true with Saturday's Bracket
Buster games. Several teams are matched up against each other
with losing records with pretty much nothing at stake. The name
"Bracket Buster" gives the illusion that every game has an
interesting nonconference matchup that should provide some kind
of excitement. As George and Ira Gershwin once wrote, "It ain't
necessarily so." Here are some meaningless games this weekend
featuring teams with losing records: Indiana State/Western
Michigan, Wright State/Bowling Green and Delaware/Cleveland
State. You couldn't give me a ticket to see those games.
Another factor to consider is that these are nonconference
games, so the scheduling spot is unusual for all teams. That is,
some teams are in close battles for first place in their
respective conferences, and now they have to step OUT of
conference play Saturday, and then jump back into conference
play the next game sometime next week. Teams that are focused on
catching another team in the conference, for instance, have to
put that aside for one game and worry about a WIN rather than
conference positioning. It's important to keep close tabs on
teams that may be looking past their bracket buster battle.
Louisiana Tech plays at Southern Illinois Saturday, as the WAC
meets the Missouri Valley Conference. Southern Illinois is not
likely to lay down for this game, as they are always tough at
home. They recently had a 33-game home win streak end, so they
take great pride in defending their home turf. On the other
hand, Southern Illinois is currently locked in a wild race in
the Missouri Valley Conference. So to suddenly play a team from
the WAC in the middle of this great race is unusual. A
handicapper needs to take all these factors into consideration.
There are also some interesting games where RPI and power
ratings are at stake. Again, Southern Illinois is one of these,
with an 18-8 record as they close in on a 20-win season. Another
is George Mason at Wichita State, featuring two powerhouse teams
from the MVC and the Colonial.
Many sports fans might overlook a game like Bucknell at Northern
Iowa at first glance, but it is an interesting battle between
two 20-win teams that are looking to improve their RPI rankings.
Bucknell is ranked 24th in the nation. Also remember that one
team has the home court edge, which means it's critical to check
how the opponent plays on the road. So, Bracket Buster weekend
offers some interesting matchups where intangibles can be a big
part of the equation. But it also offers duds like Youngstown
State/Canisius! Enjoy the weekend....Al McMordie.