UEFA Cup Round of 32 Preview
Hamburg 10/1 Despite a strong start to the season, Hamburg's
recent form has been poor. They've suffered two Bundesliga
losses in 2006 already. To make matters worse, several key
players are missing with long term injuries. Even though Hamburg
had a good run to date in the UEFA Cup, there are too many
uncertainties with this club to make them a backable choice.
They are false favourites at 10/1.
Roma 12/1 Roma got off to a slow start this year, in both
domestic and European competition. But they have been invincible
since the Christmas break. With nine straight Serie A victories,
Roma have jumped up the league table. Expect that form to
continue. Roma have little realistic chance of taking the
Scudetto, so they will be firmly focused on the UEFA cup. The
squad has depth its competitors lack and continues winning even
with a depleted roster. Roma are the classiest, most talented
and motivated side in this competition. We'd make them no bigger
than 8/1 and fully expect them to win this tournament.
Schalke 12/1 Schalke have produced stunning displays in European
competition, such as a 7-4 demolishing of Bayer Leverkusen. They
have no trouble finding the net, but Schalke's loose defence saw
them knocked out of the Champions League by Milan. They've found
a new coach, who should tighten things up somewhat. But we are
wary of backing a team that leaks goals, no matter how powerful
their offence. At 12/1, Schalke are best avoided.
Sevilla 14/1 Sevilla have been having another solid season in
the top third of the Primera Liga table. It's hard to find fault
with them in any particular area. They are certainly an
above-average club, but not a top-class side. Sevilla should go
far in this tournament, but its hard to see them dominating
games. That makes this price look a bit short.
Monaco 16/1 After a strong showing last season, Monaco are
simply an average side this year. Despite boasting strikers like
Ernesto Chevanton, Marco Di Vaio and Christian Vieri, Monaco are
hardly a goal scoring powerhouse. They average just over one
goal scored per game, not nearly adequate. Based on that form,
it would be a mistake to back them at this short price. But if
Monaco's big guns start firing, we could easily see this team in
the final.
AZ Alkmaar 16/1 Last year's surprise team in the Eredivisie, AZ
have proven they are for real. They are challenging for the
domestic title again, only five points behind PSV. But do AZ
have the depth to endure the strain of two competitions? We have
a feeling that if PSV pull away in the title race, AZ will
settle for second place and focus on winning the UEFA Cup.
They've been a force both home and away from the Alkmaarderhout.
Don't be surprised to see them in the final.
Hertha 20/1 Hertha owe their UEFA Cup berth to their
above-average performance last season. But they are a decidedly
weaker squad this time around. Hertha are draw specialists with
nearly half of their Bundesliga matches ending in stalemates.
That simply won't cut it in this competition, particularly in
home games. Hertha represent poor value even at 20/1.
Stuttgart 22/1 When it comes to draws, even Hertha can't compete
with VfB Stuttgart. With 12 draws from 21 Bundesliga games in
the first half of the season, it has been a frustrating year for
Stuttgart. They recently sacked coach Giovanni Trapattoni after
he failed to produce results. We feel this will rejuvenate the
squad and boost their goal scoring. Whether it will be enough to
take Stuttgart to the UEFA Cup finals is another matter. But
expect to get decent line value in Stuttgart's next few matches.
Middlesbrough 25/1 After working hard and perennially finishing
in the top half of the Premiership table, Middlesbrough have had
nothing but frustration this term. They have slipped near to the
relegation zone, and beleaguered coach Steve McLaren's head is
perilously close to the chopping block. A recent shock 3-0
victory over Chelsea followed a run of just one win from 11
games. Expect Middlesbrough to fight for their Premiership
lives, and put their UEFA Cup hopes on the backburner. Even 40/1
is a charitable price on them.