Who Has Down Syndrome Babies?
Most people associate having a child with Down syndrome with
older women. While it is true that women over 35 do have an
increased risk of having a child with Down syndrome, 80% of
these children are born to those women under age thirty-five.
In the United States, approximately 5,000 babies with Down
syndrome are born every year. A woman's chance of having another
baby with Down syndrome is approximately 1 in 100.
Prenatal Screening for Down Syndrome
Over the last 10 years, new technology has improved the methods
of detection of Down syndrome. While there are ways to diagnose
Down syndrome by obtaining fetal tissue samples by amniocentesis
or chorionic villus sampling, it would not be appropriate to
examine every pregnancy this way. Besides greatly increasing the
cost of medical care, these methods do carry a slight amount of
risk to the fetus.
So screening tests have been developed to try to identify those
pregnancies at "high risk." These pregnancies are then
candidates for further diagnostic testing. Screening Vs
Diagnostic Test
What is the difference between a screening test and a diagnostic
test? In diagnostic tests, a positive result very likely means
the patient has the disease or condition of concern. In
screening tests, the goal is to estimate the risk of the patient
having the disease or condition. Diagnostic tests tend to be
more expensive and require an elaborate procedure; screening
tests are quick and easy to do. However, screening tests have
more chances of being wrong: there are "false-positives" (test
states the patient has the condition when the patient really
doesn't) and "false-negatives" (patient has the condition but
the test states he/she doesn't). Maternal Serum Screening
The mother's blood is checked for three items: alpha-fetoprotein
(AFP), unconjugated estriol (uE3) and human chorionic
gonadotropin (hCG). These three are independent measurements,
and when taken along with the maternal age (discussed below),
can calculate the risk of having a baby with Down syndrome.
A very important consideration in the screening test is the age
of the fetus (gestational age). The correct analysis of the
different components depends on knowing the gestational age
precisely. The best way to determine that is by ultrasound.
Test results are sometimes reported to doctors as "Multiples of
the Median (MoM)." The "average" value is therefore called 1.0
MoM. Down syndrome pregnancies have lower levels of AFP and
estriol, so their levels would be less than 1.0 MOM.
hCG in a Down syndrome pregnancy would be greater than 1.0 MoM.
Finally, the calculated risk is used to modify the risk already
statistically calculated based on the mother's age. We already
know that as the mother's age advances, the risk of having a
baby with Down syndrome increases.
For example: Let's say the test results come back in the typical
range for a pregnancy not associated with Down syndrome (that
would be 1.0 MoM for all components). This result reduces the
woman's risk of having a child with Down syndrome four-fold.