Trading Psychology - Consecutive Loses AND The Trading
Psychology Spiral
You go long and the market immediately goes down - you go short
and the market immediately goes up. That's 2 consecutive losses,
and you are getting a little 'anxious' so you don't take the
'next' trade. Of course, this trade is a winner. Now to make the
situation worse, you then 'chase' the move, and as soon as you
enter the trade it immediately reverses, thus giving you another
loss - this is now 3 in a row. Ok one more 'try' - this can't
happen on every trade can it?
This time though, you will be real clever. You have noticed that
the market is in a range, and it's the bounce from the
low/retrace from the high that is causing all the problems. So
this time, the next trade you take will be a range extreme fade
AND the hell with your trading method. The market is at the
range low, and per your new 'on the fly' trading plan, you go
long. Instead of bouncing again, the range immediately breaks
out to the downside. Not only does this give you consecutive
loser 4, but the loss occurred from trading against one of your
'best' method trade setups, and becomes a trade which is giving
enough profit to pay for the previous 3 losers, and make you net
ahead.
Now what are you supposed to do - QUIT? AND to be sure that
there is no more temptation - your throw your computer out the
window, and dive out right behind it. You are in a trading
psychology spiral.
WHAT is a Trading Psychology Spiral?
I think of a trading psychology spiral as the transition from
trading losses that you have accepted both as a part of your
trading method, and as something that is inevitable in trading,
into a surge of emotions that continually builds to a point
where you can no longer accept anything. As this eventually
'spirals' out of control - trading method becomes completely
ignored, and is then replaced by emotional responses and
decisions for everything that is done. Even if quitting was
really the only viable thing to do at the time, the trading
psychology spiral can cause an emotional response where this
isn't even considered, until the situation becomes so desperate,
that the trader can't take it any longer AND does have to quit.
This isn't a discussion about emotions and trading, and the
various fears and issues that keeps a trader from trading to
begin with; as we know, emotions are an inherent part of trading
- you learn to control them OR you can't trade. This is a
discussion about emotions that are typically controlled well
enough so that you 'can' trade, but then something happens where
the trader loses that control, and their emotions spiral. A
series of consecutive losing trades, especially those caused by
deviating from the trading plan, are a root cause for this
happening.
This also isn't about something that happens only to
inexperienced and unprofitable traders. There are going to be
those times where nothing a trader does will work, and that
result is going to be a series of consecutive losers. So the
situation is the same, it's the reaction that may be different.
For instance, traderA may go into a panic causing them to spiral
out of control, losing all self-confidence and self-trust, and
ultimately more money than was intended. On the other hand,
traderB may go into a period of revenge trading, coupled with an
increase of their trading size, as they are 'sure' that each
next trade is going to bring them back to even. Also, a spiral
out of control, and the losses continue - AND also a loss of
more money than was intended. WHAT does traderC do?
Controlling The Trading Psychology Spiral
Consider: each time a tpsych spiral occurs AND you go out of
control - the quicker the next spiral is going to occur, and the
faster you will go out of control when it happens. This is going
to continue, until trading becomes too painful, and you will not
be willing to trade any longer.
Consider: it is better to work through the emotions instead of
quitting. Quitting is too easy, and this provides no solution or
aid in preventing this from coming back and intensifying each
time you have a rough period. As well, you have lost the ability
to 'count' on yourself when you need to do so the most. To
control a tpsych spiral, before you go out of control, is a
tremendous win in and of itself. Do this, and get your trading
back on track, and you will have made gains the value of which
you can't imagine, as you will know that you may have losing
periods BUT you can trust yourself to remain in control, and not
magnify the damage.
In light of this, take what you believe to be your key trading
issues, write them on an index card, and stick them on to your
monitor. The objective is realization and awareness, thus making
these issues available to your conscious as a reminder, instead
of only available to your subconscious as a problem. As you make
your notes BE SURE that you are writing short non-judgmental
notes - DON'T let the 'solution' make the 'problem' worse.
For instance, consider the combination of a build of emotions
coming from consecutive losses which are also occurring during
congestion - write notes similar to these on your card:
a build in emotions may come from a series of quick consecutive
losses quick consecutive losses often come from trading inside
of congestion are your losses 'base' congestion method trades OR
are you overtrading there is nothing wrong with 'base' method
trade loses your trading results are fine when you 'base' method
trade
Now consider the same situation BUT different notes:
don't be a stupid idiot and overtrade congestion like you always
do you are going to lose your ass and end up with another losing
day like usual you do this same crap every day and the same
thing happens you have no reason to even trade if this is all
that you are going to do
Remain Neutral
Remain neutral - another note for your index cards.
Another approach may be to write notes that include the things
you can remember yourself doing or feeling as you transition
from acceptable emotion to tpsych spiraling, for instance:
shortness of breath - sweating - squirming in your chair -
unable to sit down. AND as the spiraling becomes more intense:
cussing - screaming - throwing things - breaking things. UNTIL
the spiraling is out of control: panic - desperation. Clearly,
there is a whole list of physical responses to uncomfortable
emotional situations; realizing them as they occur may be a step
in controlling them before they 'take-over' and lead to
spiraling.
Be Aware
I want to know the potential for the spiraling situation. It is
VERY important to acknowledge that you have emotions, and not
try to ignore them or hide from them as a solution to the
problem OR because you perceive them to be a sign of weakness.
This actually will just make the situation worse. You are human
- humans have emotions - emotions become more intense in more
difficult situations. So, I don't need to know how I am going to
have responded as I go out of control. I do need to know, and
have something to remember, and/or think about, that can keep
this from happening - that can keep me as neutral as possible,
in what would be the more difficult trading periods - something
that will 'push' me back to tmethod AND 'away' from tpsych.
WHAT does traderC do?
traderC is the trader who remains the most neutral in winning
and losing; the most neutral in all situations. It's this
neutrality that becomes essential in keeping the emotions from
becoming a trading psychology spiral, as the trader can
'accurately' evaluate their losses in terms of method. This
trader will only trade their most 'base' method setups after any
difficult period AND IF these lose, so be it, that possibility
has already been accepted. Go on to the next method trade - it
probably will be a winner.