Real Estate - The Boom Over - The Turn in Direction is Firmly in Place!

Sales of existing homes fell a bigger-than-expected 2.7 percent in October, a fresh sign that the red-hot housing market is cooling. The decline would have been worse without increased demand from displaced hurricane victims.

Though prices rose at the fastest clip in more than a quarter-century, the number of unsold homes rose to the highest level in 19 years. Analysts forecast that this backlog will dampen future price gains.

The National Association of Realtors reported Monday that sales of existing homes and condominiums fell by 2.7 percent in October, more than double the 1.1 percent decline analysts expected.

Economists said the latest report, which showed sales declines in all regions of the country, appeared to be a signal that the booming housing market was beginning to slow under the impact of steadily rising mortgage rates.

The decline in sales pushed the number of unsold homes to 2.87 million, the highest level in more than 19 years. It would take 4.9 months to deplete that inventory level at the current sales pace.

The median, or midpoint, price of an existing home sold last month rose by 16.6 percent to $218,000, compared with October 2004.

Economists predicted the buildup in unsold homes would help dampen the surge in home prices that saw 69 cities report double-digit gains in prices this summer, compared with the third quarter of 2004.

The sales slowdown was linked to the Federal Reserve's continued campaign to boost interest rates to combat the threat of higher inflation after the recent surge in energy prices.

Most analysts believe housing will cool gradually to more sustainable levels but will escape the adverse consequences that occurred when the Internet stock bubble burst in early 2000, wiping out trillions of dollars in paper wealth and helping to push the economy into a recession. But, many real estate