Finding value is the key to betting baseball and trying to find that value with big name starting pitchers is often difficult. With the season a quarter of the way completed, we can usually separate out who is going to continue to be strong and who is in for long seasons. There are special cases where we have some top starters struggling but who could be poised to turn things around. Now is the time to bite since once they get back into a groove, the value will be long gone.

Dontrelle Willis (1-5 5.12 ERA; 1-9 Team Record -8.6 Units)

Even though Willis is on one of the worst teams in baseball, his struggles are a pretty big surprise. He had a three-game stretch where he allowed 21 earned runs in just 14.2 innings and that is the main cause for his inflated ERA. Six of his other seven outings have been quality starts including his last two so he looks to be back in good form. Pitching at home has been a disaster where he has a 10.18 ERA compared to an ERA of 2.72 on the road.

Willis is not getting good run support as he has received just four runs total in his last three starts and he is getting just 3.1 rpg on the season. Playing on a bad team is tough mentally but as long as he keeps plugging along, he will be fine. He has been an underdog in his last four starts so the value is there but it been a lost cause. It