FOREX Trading: Risky Business
You can see the claims on some FOREX web sites, implying that
FOREX is a risk-free pastime. No investment is risk-free.
In FOREX you are trading substantial sums of money, and there is
always a possibility that a trade will go against you. There are
several trading tools that can minimize your risk, yes, but
eliminate it, no. With caution, and above all education, the
FOREX trader can learn how to trade profitably and minimize
loss.
The Scams
FOREX scams were fairly common a few years ago. The industry has
cleaned up considerably since then. Still, you should exercise
caution before signing up with a FOREX broker by checking their
background.
Reputable FOREX brokers will be associated with large financial
institutions like banks or insurance companies, and they will be
registered with the proper government agencies. In the United
States, brokers should be registered with the Commodities
Futures Trading Commission or a member of the National Futures
Association. You can also check with your local Consumer
Protection Bureau and the Better Business Bureau.
The Risks
Assuming you are dealing with a reputable broker, there are
still risks to FOREX trading. Transactions are subject to
unexpected rate changes, volatile markets and political events.
Exchange Rate Risk: refers to the fluctuations in currency
prices over a trading period. Prices can fall rapidly, resulting
in substantial losses unless stop loss orders are used (see
below).
Interest Rate Risk: can result from discrepancies between the
interest rates in the 2 countries represented by the currency
pair in a FOREX quote. This discrepancy can result in variations
from the expected profit or loss of a particular FOREX
transaction.
Credit Risk: is the possibility that 1 party in a FOREX
transaction may not honor their debt when the deal is closed.
This may happen when a bank or financial institution declares
insolvency. Credit risk can be minimized by dealing on regulated
exchanges, which require members to be monitored for credit
worthiness.
Country Risk: is associated with governments that may become
involved in foreign exchange markets by limiting the flow of
currency. There is more country risk associated with "exotic"
currencies than with major countries that allow the free trading
of their currency.
Limiting Your Risk
FOREX trading can be risky, but there are ways to limit risk and
financial exposure. Every trader should have a trading strategy;
i.e., knowing when to enter and exit the market, and what kind
of movements to expect. Developing strategies requires
education, which is the key to limiting risk. At all times
follow the basic rule: Never use money that you cannot afford to
lose. Every FOREX trader needs to know at least the basics about
technical analysis and how to read financial charts. He should
study chart movements and indicators and understand how charts
are interpreted. There is a vast amount of information on FOREX
trading available both on the Internet and in print. If you want
to be successful at FOREX, then educate yourself.
Stop-Loss Orders
Even the most knowledgeable traders, however, can't predict with
absolute certainty how the market will behave. For this reason,
every FOREX transaction should take advantage of available tools
designed to minimize loss.
Stop-loss orders are the most common way to minimizing risk. A
stop-loss order contains instructions to exit your position if
the price reaches a certain point. If you take a long position
(expecting the price to rise) you would place a stop loss order
below the current market price. If you take a short position
(expecting the price to fall) you would place a stop loss order
above the current market price.
Stop loss orders can be used in conjunction with limit orders to
automate FOREX trading. Limit orders specify that an open
position should be closed at a specified profit target.