NCAA Weekly Dish - 01/21/06
With the college basketball season in full swing, Matt Fargo
takes a look at three big games on tap that you cannot miss this
Saturday.
West Virginia Mountaineers at UCLA Bruins 3:45 PM ET
This is easily the best non-conference game of the day and while
most teams are thinking about conference action, there two teams
are thinking about quality wins before the NCAA Tournament. Both
of these teams are leading their respective conferences and both
want this one badly. This is the first of two straight
non-conference games for the Mountaineers, the second coming
against Marshall so they will be fully focused here.
At 13-3 including wins over Oklahoma and Villanova, West
Virginia still has a very low RPI of 49. The Mountaineers have
played the 102nd ranked schedule in the country which isn't bad
yet aren't getting the rankings. They aren't going to give you
pretty stat lines as they are only +0.2 percent in shooting
margin and -7.7 in rebounding margin but they are efficient in
two huge categories, free throw shooting and assist/turnover
ratio.
UCLA is 9th in the RPI with two of its losses coming against
Memphis and Washington, ranked 2nd and 39th respectively. All
three losses have been by eight points or less and it makes you
wonder how this team is able to do it with an injury list that
seems to grow every week. The Bruins are 14th in shooting at
49.2 percent while the defense is allowing just 43.3 percent.
One problem is an assist/turnover ratio that is below 1.00.
These two teams have not met but UCLA head coach Ben Howland is
very familiar with the Mountaineers in his days at Pittsburgh
and owns a 5-2 career mark against West Virginia. The
Mountaineers are a completely different team from then however
as head coach John Beilein has completely turned this program
around. West Virginia is a perfect 2-0 in true road games while
UCLA has two home losses in its last four games.
George Washington Colonials at Charlotte 49ers 4:00 PM ET
First place in on the line in the Atlantic Ten as George
Washington looks to remain undefeated while Charlotte will be
looking to pick up its second A-10 home victory. This will be
the first road game for the Colonials since January 7th as they
are 3-1 on the road this season. Charlotte has played three of
its first five conference games away from home and is
surprisingly 3-0 in those games but just 1-1 at home.
George Washington is 13-1 on the season with the only defeat
coming against NC State in Raleigh. The Colonials have won five
in a row and with the exception of the Wolfpack and games
against Maryland and Temple, they really haven't played anyone.
Their schedule is ranked 323rd in the country as they have
played some real cupcakes this season. The only good sign about
that is that they have blown those teams out.
The 49ers are 4-1 in the conference and coming off a big win at
St. Joe's on Tuesday. They were defeated pretty handily in their
last home game against Xavier and their home record of 4-4 is
not very intimidating. Charlotte is being outshot by 5.4 percent
in its home games while outscoring opponents by just 1.3 ppg.
Blowout losses to Mississippi St. and Indiana are the main cause
for those discrepancies.
Charlotte leads the A-10 with 42 rebounds per game and is third
with a +7 rebounding margin. The problem has been the offense as
the 49ers are shooting just 39.7 percent which is 13th in the
conference while George Washington leads the A-10 in that
category at 48.8 percent. Charlotte has played the 54th ranked
slate in the nation so a lot of its shooting problems can be
traced to that.
George Mason Patriots at NC-Wilmington Seahawks 2:00 PM ET
This has always been one of the best rivalries in the Colonial
and it won't be any different on Saturday as the winner will be
in first place, tied with preseason favorite Old Dominion. The
Patriots are the hotter of the two teams as they have won six
straight games, all six being conference tilts with three of
those on the road. Wilmington has lost only one game at home
this year, a non-conference game against Charleston.
George Mason has been winning big of late as its last five wins
have all been by 11 points or more. The defense has been the
story as the Patriots have the 7th best shooting defense in the
country, allowing opponents to hit just 37.4 percent of their
shots. Not to be outdone, the offense is 22nd, hitting 48.5
percent of its attempts. The Patriots 11.1 percent shooting
margin is 4th in the country behind Texas, Florida and Xavier.
The Seahawks defense isn't far behind, ranked 51st in the
country by allowing just 40.6 percent from the floor. The
problem is the offense that is shooting just 42.9 percent on the
season and will be facing its biggest test of the year.
Wilmington is shooting 45 percent from the floor at home but
negating that is its 65.7 percent success rate at the free throw
line. However, the Seahawks have hit 75 percent in their last
two home games.
Wilmington is coming off a great defensive game against Towson,
holding the Tigers to a season low 46 points. With two solid
defenses we can expect a low scoring game but there won't be a
lot of value in the posted total. The home team has won 12 of
the last 13 meetings while George Mason has lost 7 of the past 8
games at Trask Coliseum. Surprisingly as big as a rivalry as
this is, seven of the last 11 meetings have been decided by
double digits.