The Dish: Running Backs Leave College in Droves
Okay, there are just way too many running backs declaring for
the NFL Draft.
What, are classes at the nation's largest universities getting
harder or something? No, no one's surprised that Reggie Bush
declared early; he's probably going to be the first overall
pick. Nor can I quibble with Vince Young (kind of an RB in QB's
clothing, if you know what I mean), after his amazing Rose Bowl
performance. I have to take some umbrage at LenDale White's
decision to go. Bush's backfield mate could've had the Southern
Cal spotlight all to himself with Reggie out of the picture,
and, barring injury, would almost certainly have gone higher in
'07 than in '06.
Now comes the cavalcade of huh? Laurence Maroney out of
Minnesota? Hm. Nice back, lots of yards. But do it on the big
stage, Larry. Brian Calhoun of Wisconsin? Is he worried his
meteoric, out-of-nowhere 2005 will vanish if he hangs around
lovely Madison one more year? Maurice Drew out of UCLA? I mean,
he's a nice college player, but he's (maybe) 5'8", 205 lbs. He's
Kevin Faulk. Demetris Summers out of South Carolina? (And I do
mean out of South Carolina: Steve Spurrier kicked the kid off
the Gamecocks football team after his freshman year; if you're
too dirty for Steve Superior, you are mighty dirty.) Demetris.
Buddy. Seems as though you could do with a little
Marcus-Vick-style maturation before setting your sights on
Maurce-Clarett-land, huh?
The bottom line here is: NFL teams aren't looking to pay running
backs a lot of money anyway, which is why they typically wait
and wait and wait to take them on draft day. (Who can forget
Steven Jackson's precipitous fall out of the first round two
years ago?) Combine that with the fact that, like, everyone is
coming out early, and some of these fellows aren't going to get
drafted until the second day. Is school really that bad?
What did the handicapping world think of the Wild Card weekend
in the NFL?
Bob Aggarwal, Professional Handicapper's League: Big surprise in
my mind as home cooking did not result in home wins. Also, very
surprised by the play of the New York Giants. Out-coached and
outright losers as three-point favorites at the Meadowlands? We
really had that game pegged as being much closer. The Carolina
Panthers will give Chicago all they can handle Saturday. As far
as the Pats go, they are really turning things around. They are
not quite as good-looking as they were last year during their
championship run, but they're awfully close. Their secondary is
certainly coming around. The Washington Redskins are doing it
with smoke and mirrors. 120 yards in offense will not get you
past the Seahwaks. They have to play much better on that side of
the ball next week or they will be heading back to the nation's
capital losers.
Greg Jorssen, BoDog.com: The underdogs and the favorites split
their games; each winning twice. Thus handicapping world
breathed a sigh of relief early on in the playoffs. Those that
played the Under last the weekend made out pretty good. That's
not surprising, considering this time of year finds defenses
kicking it up a notch. In fact, the four teams that were
victorious held their opponents to a combined 30 points. We're
seeing an interesting development with the divisional playoff
games this weekend. Last year during the divisional playoffs,
the favorites went 4-0 straight up and 3-1 against the spread,
and the books did extremely well. We're seeing similar betting
trends for this weekend; thus if the home teams do well and
cover, we will see another strong result. It appears that
bettors have fallen in love with the one-week wonder and an
apparent hate on for the home teams who have been the best team
all year! Very interesting trend indeed!
Should Seattle and Indianapolis really be nearly double-digit
favorites over Washington and Pittsburgh next week? Especially
in the case of Indy, am I crazy for thinking that seems high?
GJ, BoDog.com: I think teaser bettors will be drooling over
these two games. The Seahawks and Colts both should win their
games, but 9 and 10 points seems pretty high. The Steelers are
on a roll, while the Colts limp into the playoffs on a
three-game losing streak (yes, I know they beat the Cards, but
barely; that still counts as a loss in my books!) and have not
played a game that means anything in the standings since Week
15. Then again, they have Peyton Manning steering the ship and
they are the same team that went 13-0 after going 0-5 in the
pre-season, thus should be no problem dusting off the cobwebs
and getting the team refocused. As for the Seahawks, the books
opened up high due to the inability of the Redskins' offense
against the Bucs and the injury to Clinton Portis. If they can
capitalize on Seahawk turnovers and hold Alexander early, this
could prove to be a hard fought and close affair.
BA, Professional Handicapper's League: The Colts have not played
a meaningful game in six weeks. So no, I don't think you are
crazy for thinking this line is too high. Their offense is based
on rhythm, meaning they could easily be out-of-synch for a
quarter or two. On the other hand, they could look like the
Colts of Weeks 1-14. If so, the Steelers are in for a long day,
and the line would actually look a bit low. A tough call on that
one, on Sunday. Seattle is an awfully good football team. I
think this line is based more upon the fact the Skins are really
doing it with smoke and mirrors. How long can you rely on
opportunistic defense to win you ballgames? Also, 120 yards out
of your offense won't get you past the Seahawks. In this
ballgame initially I don't think that line is high enough.
What do you think of Vince Young's decision to enter the NFL
Draft early?
Where do you see him going, and do you think he'll be an
effective pro?
BA, Professional Handicapper's League: Young's stock could not
be any higher than what it is now. After that Rose Bowl
performance, he had to go. I see him going to the Titans at #3
and being an awfully good pro. Unlike Michael Vick, he already
has an established arm. He showed that by leading the nation
this year in passing efficiency. This also tells us he has the
capability to make solid smart decisions.
GJ, BoDog.com: What better time to turn pro than being the talk
of the nation and stealing the spotlight away from Bush and
Leinart? His performance brought him from a projected #9 or #10
overall pick down to #2 or #3, thus you can't fault him for
jumping over to the NFL. I think it would be wise for the Saints
to go with the quarterback that is more NFL ready right now,
which is Matt Leinart. Tennessee then will take Vince Young,
much to the delight of Steve McNair, who has mentored Young over
the past years. Young's mobility will make him a very good fit
for the Titans. Yes, his throwing motion is unconventional and a
lot has been said about how we will suffer in the NFL because of
his style. Forget all that. Young led the nation in passing with
a 168.6 rating this year and passed for over 2,700 yards and 26
touchdowns. Better numbers than Leinart. We witnessed greatness
in the Rose Bowl, and witnessed a legend being born.
Changing sports for just a moment, which college basketball team
is more for real: Texas or Villanova?
GJ, BoDog.com: Both teams are definite powerhouses. I picked the
revitalized Longhorns at the start of the season to battle Duke
all season long. Their early season set-back to Duke seemed to
stagger them, losing the next game to Tennessee. Since then,
they have won five straight, including an impressive win in
Memphis. People are starting to talk again about a
back-to-back-to-back championship for Texas (baseball, football,
and now possibly basketball). Villanova had their first loss at
home to West Virginia, then slugged out a hard-fought overtime
victory Wednesday night at Rutgers. The guard-heavy Wildcats
have already shown that they play extremely well against Big 12
schools, with impressive victories over Kansas and Oklahoma.
Have fun at the game! Should be quite a battle.
BA, Professional Handicapper's League: I have Villanova as the
better team only because they are more experienced and boast
more weapons. Aside from Tucker and Gibson, the Longhorns don't
know exactly where their offense will come for night in and
night out. Sure, Aldridge will get you some points and Buckman
will battle underneath, but the Cats have four players that can
light it up on any given night.