Sports Betting Portfolio Management
The subject of financial investment is such a wide and varied
area. We all know (or should know), that investing surplus funds
is a sound idea; nothing new there. If you make the decision to
invest, what investment options do you have?
1. Property - unit, house, holiday house, commercial property, a
managed property investment fund etc.
2. Shares - stock options, different stock investment sectors
such as small capitalisation mining companies, international or
local share funds etc.
3. Fixed Interest - bonds, convertible notes, fixed deposits etc
The above are your major investments categories in which you may
be looking to invest.
These are the 'traditional' type of investments however there
are other investment areas which are just as, or more profitable
than your main 'stable' of investment options. These alternative
investment options include tree crops, vintage cars, wines, art,
other collectables and also sports betting and horse racing!
As the majority of people do not understand the betting
industry, they generally scoff at the idea of sports/horse race
betting as a legitimate investment option. That is because they
have only been exposed to one side of the business, the
entertainment side. Of course gambling is generally painted in
an ordinary light in the media where it is linked to family
break downs and suicides. The perception among those who haven't
been enlightened is that if you bet often, you must have a
gambling problem!
"If the truth be known many who play the stockmarket are the
biggest gamblers around."
They are never labelled gamblers, nor do they believe that they
are gambling because their gambling vehicle is not horses but
shares in companies. They like to think of their random and
uneducated decisions as being an 'investment' rather than a bet.
In this light, it is OK to lose money because 'it is an
investment'. Many are simply betting on the price of a share
just the same as an uneducated sports bettor who makes a
decision on the likely outcome of a game.
The purpose of this article is to show that gambling can be a
serious and profitable business as well as a fun pastime. I
decided to write this article after speaking with a good mate of
mine who happens to be financial advisor to 'high net worth'
clients. You may be surprised and interested to note that he
sees sports betting as playing a very important role in his
investment portfolio. He knows very little about sports but he
sees it as a very serious business and he follows our selections
'to the letter'. (Not that he would tell his clients that he
invests in sport as I am sure they just wouldn't 'get it'.)
The similarities between the more 'traditional' type investments
and gambling are many. We are all playing the same game, which
is to . . .
beat the market and optimize our total wealth.
Financial markets such as the stockmarket are generally
efficient and represent the general view of the aggregate of
those that invest into the market. Investing in any financial
market (including the sports betting market) raises financial
questions involving decision making under uncertainty. Many of
those that play such markets simply do not understand just what
they are up against.
People go to financial advisors for advice on how to best invest
their money. They are thought to be the experts. They have been
to University and have completed courses through the Australian
Securities Institute to become an advisor. It is the same with
other specialised services, such as doctors and solicitors.
People recognise the specialised knowledge that these guys have
and understand the value of paying such experts for their
opinions.
I believe the reason to why more aren't successful in gambling
is that the majority of punters have no idea what they are up
against. They believe that they can beat the game with no
specific specialised knowledge. There is a price you have to pay
to gain the knowledge and experience required to become
successful.
This is very similar for both traditional investment advisors
and also in the gambling field. Some advisors are better than
others, as are some investments and some investment funds are
better than others. Some investment funds make excellent returns
for their clients however, on the other hand, the majority can't
even beat the average based on the returns of the 'All Ords'
index!
I can see myself starting to get off track here.
Professional gambling is not for everyone, however I truly
believe that it is within reach of everyone. Now there are two
ways in which you can make a living out of gambling.
1. You can spend years studying mathematics and learn the ins
and the outs of your chosen betting field to hopefully build the
skills necessary to make consistent profits
2. You can pay those that have trodden the path above for their
specialised knowledge and skill and then focus your attention on
becoming an astute gambling portfolio manager.
Both methods will provide very similar betting results. Gambling
is like any other profession. You simply cannot become
successful without truly applying yourself and spending the time
(and the money), to learn and become proficient. (Contrary to
what most 'retail' punters would suggest). It is no different to
a financial advisor who studies commerce at university and then
completes a Diploma of Financial Markets at the Securities
Institute. They have paid the necessary price (both in time and
money), to obtain the required information to pursue a career in
their chosen field of endeavour.
The thing with sports/horse racing is that punters expect wealth
and success to come to them while they are doing nothing to
improve their skills. I believe this is largely due to the fact
that they do not understand what they are up against and how
tough it is for your average casual punter these days to turn a
profit.
Anyway, back to the purpose of this article. It is well and
truly possible for anyone to become a successful and highly
profitable gambler.
As we saw above, there are two choices that you could make. One
requires years of study to develop the required specialised
knowledge to allow you to become successful; the second option
can be thought of as being the easier path.
Just as you may well pay a financial advisor for their advice,
you have the option to pay an expert in gambling for their
betting advice. Doing so will leave you as purely a manager of
your investments.
If you have ever been to a financial advisor, you will realise
that they love their pie charts and love to talk about
diversification and asset allocation. They split your total
investment wealth up into different areas with the aim of
reducing risk.
Well consider doing something similar with gambling. There are a
number of excellent sports/racing services which show high
returns and have been showing high returns for a good period.
You may like to build a portfolio of gambling investment options
based around the good services. How you allocate your resources
for the different services you may use is up to you. For example
your gambling portfolio may comprise of two horse racing
approaches, two tennis approaches, one AFL, one NRL and one
Super12's for example.
After sourcing your betting information from a service, you have
the task of managing your portfolio to maximise the rate of
growth of your bank and to minimise your risk. For those that
take the time to look at the possibilities of sports betting
investment, you can understand why it makes a lot of sense from
an investment angle. You invest your money for a whole year in
say the stockmarket hoping for a standard 10% return. You can
make that on every single dollar that you outlay in some sports!
Investing in a conservative manner can easily see you double
your original investment capital within one year. Returns
unheard of in other 'traditional' methods of investment and yet
contrary to what most believe it is unbelievably safe if you
find a reliable source to purchase your advice from.
In sports betting you can use mathematics to calculate very
accurately worst case scenarios and no, that is not generally a
total loss of starting capital. We have a simulation program
available on the website which you can access from the following
link Punting Ace Simulation Program which will give you an
excellent idea of what you can expect to achieve based on
certain criteria.
We also have programs which will simulate your projected
performance based on certain bankroll settings. To simulate a
year of our tennis package, select the following link Punting
Ace Tennis Simulation or to simulate a year of our AFL betting
package, select the following link Punting Ace AFL Simulation.
Summary
If you are not happy "putting all your eggs in one basket", why
not consider sports betting as an "alternative investment"
similar to tree crop investments or hedge funds. Any prudent
financial planner will explain to you the benefits of
diversifying across a number of different markets and investment
products. Indeed, investment products such as options and
instalment warrants (and to some extent margin lending), are
designed to "enhance" your overall portfolio returns and as
such, traditional investment advisers may allocate a
"percentage" of your overall portfolio to these products.
With risk adjusted returns far in excess of "main stream"
investment products, why wouldn't you apply a percentage of your
portfolio to sports betting? As your financial adviser will
agree, sports betting is not correlated with any main stream
investment markets, and indeed given the disappointing recent
performance of the stock market (with the exception of last
years return of approx 25%) the current investment markets are
awash with products that are non-correlated to the stockmarket.
For example, hedge funds, tree investments, caravan park
property trusts and chicken farms (yes that last one is actually
true). Therefore sports betting should at least be considered as
part of a prudent "diversified" investment portfolio.
Sport Betting Investment Steps
1. Decide from day one that you have the discipline to follow
your plan through and that you will operate in a business like
fashion and will keep records and the like.
2. Find a reputable information provider for your selections.
Remember the goal is for you to be only the portfolio manager.
You don't want to have to come up with the selections; leave
that to those that have proven track records and are experts in
their fields.
3. Decide on how you will divide up your total starting capital
over the information provider(s)/sport(s) which you have
gathered.
4. Now follow through with your plan setting aside time for
constant reflection and self evaluation in an attempt to
maximise your returns whilst minimising your risk.
Disclaimer - this article is not meant to be taken as offering
financial advice. The author is not a qualified financial
advisor and as such, cannot give such advice. We advise you to
seek independent advice from a qualified advisor before
committing any funds.
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