The U.S. Dependence on Foreign Oil
In late 2004, the Hudson Institute conducted a survey with the
following results:
75% of Americans prioritized "reducing our reliance on foreign
oil" over "cheaper prices for oil and gas." 83% of Americans
agreed that "reducing our dependence on foreign oil must be a
top priority for the next administration." 91% of Americans
concurred that "when it comes to energy, we need an America that
relies on its own ingenuity and innovation-not the Saudi royal
family." How much oil we depend on from foreign sources affects
our economy and our national security. Today, we import more
than half of the oil we use, and it will increase as we use up
domestic resources. The majority (65% to 75%) of the world's oil
reserves are in the Middle East and are controlled by the OPEC
oil cartel. The U.S. depends on oil for most of its
transportation needs--up to 95%. Until alternative energy
vehicles start becoming more commonplace, our dependence on
foreign oil will only grow.
In the past, dependence on oil has cost our economy dearly. Oil
price shocks and manipulation by OPEC between 1979 to 2000 cost
the U.S. around $7 trillion, nearly as much as was spent on
national defense over the same period and more than the interest
payments on the U.S. national debt. An economic recession
resulted from each major price shock, so with increasing
dependence on OPEC oil, continued price shocks will continue to
cost the U.S. economy.
In late 2004, oil prices charged toward $50 a barrel as
hurricanes slowed petroleum output from the Gulf of Mexico and
rebels threatened Nigerian oil facilities. Not only did that
create a surge in gas prices at the pump, but increased the
dependence of the U.S. on oil from the middle East. "Higher oil
prices could trigger a global recession," according to Purnomo
Yusgiantoro, President of OPEC. Analysts reported surging
demands from a booming Chinese economy as the cause of putting
global demand only slightly below global supply. Most OPEC
nations are already producing at full capacities.
All the oil beneath the surface of the earth formed in more than
200 million years, yet in 200 years half of it has been
consumed. At that rate, remaining oil resources would be
depleted in 40 years. We would still have other fossil fuels
like coal, shale oil, tar sands and natural gas. Currently, many
of these energy resources are too costly to use, and their
conversion to transportation fuels for use in alternative energy
vehicles would produce harm to the environment. Investigation is
ongoing to find new fuels to develop economically and without
environmental damage.
Ultimately, the solution to our dependence on oil lies in our
technological progress in developing alternative energy vehicles
that are more environmentally friendly and use energy more
efficiently. Research continues to find or create new energy
sources to replace petroleum cleanly and inexpensively. As
people embrace hybrid cars and other alternative fuel vehicles
by asking for and purchasing them, automakers will be encouraged
to produce more energy efficient, clean cars and to continue
their technical advancements.